Tuesday, May 12, 2009
Tuesday, May 5, 2009
Recommendation for Best Results
I recommend you PRINT THIS OUT and DEVOUR it immediately. Become comfortable using it by paper trading with it first. That way you'll actually be able to USE the information to profit with. Keep it by your computer for easy reference while trading and see how it affects your decisions and your bottom line.
I'd love to hear your experience as you apply the information. Feel free to shoot me an email anytime.
Imagine that for each currency pair, you already know:
� When trends are most likely to occur
� The best days to trade
� The most active trading days
� The best hours to trade
� The most active trading hours of the day
� How far price is likely to move during a trend
� How much of that move you can reasonably expect to capture
� How long a trend is likely to last.
Even though the Forex is open twenty-four hours a day, there are times when the market for a given currency pair is highly active, other times when it is moderately active, and times when there is no activity at all. While you can make money whether the market is moving up or down, it’s
extremely difficult to make a profit when the market is moving sideways. And since the market for a particular currency may spend 60% to 75% of its time moving sideways, it is very important to know WHEN the trending
activity is most likely to occur. It’s also easy to enter the market at the tail end of a trend and not know, except in hindsight, that the end was so near. After all, the
indicators were telling you the trend was still going strong—so if you don’t know that this particular pair makes seven-bar moves, you go ahead and enter on the sixth bar of the trend. Two bars later, your trade is heading south in a hurry. It’s critical to know how many bars a trend is
likely to last before there is a retracement or consolidation period, given the day of the week and the hour of the day the trend first began.
Exiting too late is another common experience many traders share.
No matter the time frame you are trading on always take a look at the 4 hour time frame because it is what controls the daily price movement in the lower time frames such as the 1 hour, 30mins, 15mins etc.
What are the best times to trade a given currency pair?
1. Monday through Thursday are the optimal trading days
2. Thursday is GBP/USD’s most active day
3. The best hours to trade GBP/USD are between 6:00 AM and 6:00 PM
4. 10:00 AM to 2:00 PM is the most active trading time
5. 74% of trends run between 6 and 17 bars in length before a retracement
6. The median length of a GBP/USD trend is 11 bars before a retracement
7. Trends length varies with the day of the week and the hour of the day the trend begins.
8. 75% of price moves are between 50 and 150 pips; 43% are between 100 and 150 pips
9. We can expect to capture between 94 and 125 of the overall pips in a trend, depending on the trading day.
THIS ALSO IMPLIES FOR OTHER PAIRS WITH GBP, THEY ARE MOVE AT THE SAME TIME OF THE DAY, THEIR TREDING MOVE STARTS AT THE SAME TIME.
TRADING STRATEGY USING THE FXMETER
As currency traders, our mission is to make money trading the difference in strength between currencies. The ForexGrail will show you which currencies are trending over time by displaying weakness or strength in line form.
Your trading decision should have 3 parts to it.
1. Pick a pair of currencies that are moving toward strength or weakness using the currency strength meter. Watch the lines form for at least a half hour prior to beginning.
2.. Find an entry place using the 50 period simple moving average crossing with price line plus six pips.
3.. Determine your exit by using the assistance of the 7 period simple moving average.
PRICE LINE ONLY. ( No candles or bars)
15 MINUTE CHART
50 SMA (Simple moving average on close price) All charts will have the ability to place a line called a “simple moving average”. Later you may want to fine tune with other settings but for now, use the simple close price line and color it blue.
7 SMA ( Simple moving average on close price) The simple moving average smoothes out the price history line so we can see the average prices during whatever period you select.
Various currency setups happen several times a day on various pairs. Not all crossings have potential. You must have confirmed strength meter readings to go with this simple entry system of 2 moving averages. Find a few potential strong and weak candidates. Keep your eye on them for an hour or more. You will begin for feel the various trends developing. Don’t stare at charts all day. Just keep the meter going while you go about your business. When the conditions begin to show themselves you will be read. Some days the setups are seen more often than others. Most mornings I usually see two or three.
All trading involves risk. You may lose several trades in a row sometimes so you need enough money to ride it out. No system is capable of 10 out of 10 wins consistently. It is you who will make any system work.
Although this system is easy to follow, there are going to be lots of demons like emotion and lack of patience. You must be strong. Make the determination now, before going any further.
Enter at least 6 pips after the crossing of the 50 line and price. This makes sure it’s not just noise. The 50 is showing direction and the 7 will be marking an exit.
You need to get used to making trades with your platform in demo or simulator mode. Absolutely, positively, do not start using real money until you have proven to yourself, and most importantly, the others in your life that may be affected, that the system works and you have clearly assessed and discussed the risks involved.
NOTE VERY IMPORTANT
Do not jump every time you see red and blue. These should alert you to a developing trend only. They could change. You must watch what the currencies are doing for a time to get a fix on their true strength or weakness. You are looking at the meter to provide you with some clues and save time watching all the pairs. How will you know if the strength is developing or the weakness is real? Aha.
Give your trade some time to work.
Don’t set ten pip stops with the broker. My hard stops are usually more than most people are comfortable (50-100) but make yours at least three times the amount you are going to use for a mental stop. Keep stops above 20 with your demo until you get a feel for where to place them. It takes a bit of ups and down for the trade to work. Take a safe piece of the move. 10 pip stops will kill you. They are too small. Remember, a broker makes money on filling orders. Either way. A stop is an order. Keep the stops high on your demo so they can show you what’s best for you when going live. I am always looking for the beginning of a trend. I don’t want to trade it yet, but I am always watching for
the ones that are beginning. Sometimes the lights turning
red and blue on the meter during the beginning of my
trading day may be showing peaks and not trends. I want to see steadily rising numbers for my strong choice. Just picking the highest number isn’t the idea. You want to watch the trends developing and moving towards weakness or strength, You are trading the spread between currencies. This means you want to see as great a difference between two currencies as possible at an increasing rate of change. That’s the profit. Don’t get attached to one special pair. Sure, if the signals are there fine, but look around.
Interpreting the Meter
“The charts you look at in Forex are not like stock charts at all. The price of a stock is fixed against ONE currency. Forex trading involves two variables (currencies) measured against each other. The difference between these two currencies is called the ‘spread’. Forex charts are ‘spread charts’. We (can only) make money buying one currency that is going up in value, using another currency that is going down in value.”
Currency PAIRS vs. INDIVIDUAL Currency Strength and Weakness
As Forex traders, we tend to focus on currency pairs as a single entity rather than on the individual currencies that make up the pair. Moreover, this tendency is reinforced every time we look at a Forex price chart, because even though we are really seeing the difference in price between TWO currencies, the difference is displayed on a SINGLE graph commonly known as a spread chart.
Throughout the day all currencies are changing in value as perception, news, politics, and economics plays out in their respective countries. One currency may be going up in value due to a piece of great economic news, while another is losing its value from a political scandal indicating future uncertainty. This interplay is what we are seeing when looking at a Forex chart. However, using only one chart tells us only part of the story.
In order to trade the Forex market correctly, determining the strength or weakness of an individual currency is vital. In fact, currency strength is everything when trading foreign exchange prices.
As a Forex trader, your mission is to make money trading the difference in strength and weakness between currencies. Since the value of world currencies is always changing,
being able to electronically measure and weigh each currency as it interacts with others is the secret to trading Forex. And the Meter does just that. It will show you which currencies are trending over time by displaying the weakness or strength of each currency in relative to the others in line graph format.
So, is the upward move indicated by the blue arrow in the chart above an indication that EUR is stronger and CHF is weaker? To find out, let’s take a closer look at the Meter and how to interpret its numeric and graphic output.
The illustration below is a representation of the Meter with only the currencies comprising the EUR/CHF pair.
What we’re looking for is one of the currencies in the pair to reach a strength reading of 6.00 or higher and the other to have a weakness reading of 2.00 or lower
The numerical readout shows that CHF is at 6.80, and has been there for some time. EUR, on the other hand, is at 2.40—not quite where we want it to be. We can also see that the spread in terms of relative strength and weakness is quite wide. The main point is that EUR is extremely weak compared to CHF, and therefore a taking a long position would not be wise.
The Meter has calculated and weighed EUR’s performance over all currency pairs with which it is crossed and has determined that on a strength scale of one to ten (ten being the strongest) EUR is at a little over 2.00. The Meter has also compared CHF’s performance over all currency pairs with which it is crossed and has determined that its strength is at almost 7.00.
By doing so, it has performed a fundamental analysis, quantified it, and displayed it in a way delivers an INSTANT visual evaluation of each currency’s strength relative to the other’s.
Let’s look at the figure below, which represents the Meter’s output for this same pair a few hours later.
The blue arrow in the illustration above indicates the approximate point at which we first looked at the EUR/CHF spread chart.
The vertical white arrows demonstrate how the spread between the two currencies has been widening. The horizontal white arrows tell us that CHF has a strength rating of 6.80 and EUR has a strength rating of about 1.8.
The currency strength meter is simple in operation.
It looks at all pairs and uses various weighting calculations to find out how, relative to the others, a particular currency is doing. It measures individual currency strengths by making comparisons with how that currency interacts with others. Strength or weakness is not clear using one chart. In order for you to figure out if the currency is strong, you have to open other charts and see if it shows strength against other currencies.
The currency meter tells you at a glance which currencies are moving and which charts you should open to take a look at. The meter takes a free data feed from a typical interbank broker and shows us in real time which currency is most active. It moves all the time the market is moving. Sometimes very fast, and other times quite slowly. The meter allows us to narrow down a pair of currencies to trade.
To recap interpreting the Meter:
Look for a Meter reading of 6.00 or higher for the stronger currency.
Look for a Meter reading of 2.00 or lower for the weaker currency.
Look for sustained performance at those levels (around 30 minutes) to confirm trend direction .
Do not enter trades that are not within the above parameters
• Use a 50-period SMA of the CLOSE as the Trend Line for overall trend direction
• Use a 7-period SMA of the OPEN as the Exit Line
o Enter when
�� Meter reads 6 or more for stronger currency
�� Meter reads 2 or less for weaker currency
�� Price Line crosses Trend Line plus or minus 6 pips in direction of stronger currency
o Risk no more than 2% of your equity on any single trade, and no more than 6% for all trades
o Stop Loss
�� Initial stop loss of at least 50 pips �� After 25 pips of profit move stop loss to +5 pips
o Exit when
�� Price Line crosses Exit Line plus or minus 6 pips
Click here to download Money Management Module
Friday, May 1, 2009
1.. The Euro has gained strength.
2... The US dollar has weakened.
Observing one chart, you really don't know which is true. In order to find out whether a particular currency is strengthening or weakening.
Only by seeing the US dollar strengthen in several pairs like the USDCHF and the GBPUSD as well as the EURUSD, will you find the true strength. The currency meter compares dozens of pairs and ferrets out strong and weak, then displays it on a scale from 0 to 9.
Forex trading is simple:
A. Buy a strengthening currency using a weakening currency.
B. Sell a weakening currency using a strengthening currency.
Without a currency strength meter, how do you know what is strong or what is weak? Sure you can do calculations manually if you are measuring longer terms but holy cow, what a job keeping track manually of twenty some pairs. Measuring currency strength on an intraday scale requires the use of a software program.
When you use the software version, it shows you the true strength in real time. Since we are looking at trends instead of prices, the use of a demo vs live isn't material. All forex brokers will vary a few pips from each other but they follow the same overall pattern so the strengths and weaknesses are all we need.
The Currency strength meter will enhance your trading plan. Like a hammer on its own can't build anything, the meter will become a valuable tool but it isn't a system on its own. You need to supply the system to apply it with. Thats how the Forexgrail forexcame into being. The addition of this tool in something as simple as a moving average type system will be like adding rocket fuel.Understanding the trend that currencies go through in an average trading day is important to timing your entry and exits. Watching correlations, and taking advantage of important news items when combined with your personal plan should increase your winnings and help you cut short your losses.
Best yet, it takes about one day to learn. If that.
It’s the absolute best way to make profits in today’s uncertain times.
It’s the Next Best Thing to a Crystal Ball!
The Forex Grail is simple to learn. Yet it’s extremely powerful. It does all the work for you; all you have to do is make a quick match of any one of 8 different currencies. And even then, it’s pointed out which ones are strong or weak. Armed with this new breakthrough in trading technology, you’ll easily anticipate which combination of currencies are going to move where, allowing you to swoop in and capture huge moves. You’ll be shocked at how easy it is to make big money using this.
How This Works
Most traders follow two to four pairs at any given time. But the Forex Grail isolates eight individual currencies. It shows you their strengths and weaknesses, based on what’s happening with others – at a glance. As if that wasn’t simple enough, the Currency Strength Meter used with the system I explain in the ebook also shows you where to enter and exit a trade. The only thing it doesn’t do is place the trade for you.
Here’s and example: Say the AUD gets weak, but the CHF starts to spike with strength. With the Grail, it’s so obvious it almost screams out at you, “SHORT THE AUD and go long on the CHF – NOW!” You quickly enter a trade that would have otherwise never occurred to you. A few moments later, the Meter tells you to cash out with a fat gain.
Here’s the math … with 8 different currencies, you spot and combine up to 26 trading pairs! The Currency Strength Meter does the rest. It’s like having the same power at your finger tips that the big money managers use … but only at a fraction of the cost. Could any Forex tool be more powerful? More profitable?
Naturally, not every single trade is going to be a winner. Let’s be honest, when you trade anything, losses are always possible. Do you want the real key to success? How about a Currency Strength Meter and a simple two moving average formula to show you when the time is right?
Now let me be crystal clear about one thing. There will be…No Information Overload, or Extra Fluff
Nothing irrelevant to what you need to use the system. You don’t need the last 20 years of currency trading, ramblings about monetary theory, etc. You don’t need tons of indicators, Fibonacci theory, Elliot waves, etc.Maybe a couple of moving averages. And I’ll explain those in an afternoon. Tops.
No experience necessary.
In fact, the less you know coming in, the easier it is to learn. No assumptions. No silly theories to unlearn, like stuff like lunar cycles, star constellations, etc. All you need is one day to read the eBook, and the Forex Grail to show you the way to immediately start making real money.
See How Powerful It Is for Yourself!
Too many schemers have capitalized on trader confusion by promising ridiculous returns in a short time period. And some of those gambler types out there will jump in with both feet, blindly, getting off on the high that goes with a high-profit trade. Sure, there is some risk, so you should never trade more than you can afford to lose. And apart from the problem of some adults believing fairy tales that you’ll get rich overnight or there are auto trade systems that work, are the emotions that can obstruct making careful and thoughtful trading decisions. That’s why Forex Grail Trading is key to your success, financially. Because this simple but proven program takes out all the guesswork. All you have to do is turn it on, watch the meter, and get real results. In fact, quite simply...There has never been an easier way to trade
Start Trading Just Like an Expert
It matters not if you are a raw rookie or a seasoned trader. Whichever level you are at in your trading skills, putting the simple steps of the Forex Grail to work for you today is going to boost your trading skills and skyrocket your accuracy. You don’t have to be a financial wizard, or a math genius like me. You don’t need to spend years, slowly grinding your way to the top. The Forex Grail is going to give you the boost you need, so you can jumpstart your trading, reaching your full earning potential. It’s actually an unfair advantage with secret access to the inside scoop of the Forex market! You know, once you’ve felt this power for yourself, you’ll wonder how you ever got along without it! You’ll sleep like a baby at night, relaxing at the ease of your new day trading decisions.
Why You Owe It to Yourself to Check Out This
Here’s what’s up…
You’re probably aware that breakthrough software programs like The Forex Grail have massive time and research invested in them. You could pay over a thousand dollars a month for a personal mentor or some bogus advisory service. (You don’t even want to know what I took in last year in consulting fees.) But if you are drop-dead serious about being able to trade like a pro almost overnight, having the opportunity to boost your trading profits to exciting new highs, and be in control of your financial destiny … the time has come, and that time is now.
And best yet … no recurring monthly charges! No data feed charges! No charting fees!
It covers all major currencies …